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Originally Posted: August 23, 2012
All or Nothing
A New Texas Lottery Online Game
Ticket sales begin Sept 9, 2012 - first drawing will be Monday, Sept 10, 2012
Cost of Single Play - $2
The Texas Lottery (TLC) will draw 12 numbers from a pool of 24 numbers.
There will be 4 drawings each day - Monday through Saturday
(10 AM, 12:27 PM, 6 PM, 10:12PM)
The object of All or Nothing is to select (match)
OR as many of the numbers drawn.
Players MUST select 12 numbers - or if purchasing a
12 computer generated numbers will appear on the lottery ticket.
(It is nearly impossible for anyone to select 12 numbers between 1 - 24
and NOT match any number from 12 numbers drawn. Think about it.
Most players will sucessfully select 5, 6 or 7 numbers.)
You win absolutely NOTHING if you match 5, 6, or 7 of the numbers drawn.
Prediction: Many players will NOT understand or believe that matching 5, 6 or
7 numbers pays nothing. I believe this will result in arguments with store clerks.
I just hope it doesn't ever turn violent. I also believe that calls to both the TLC
and to me will be plentiful - players will be thinking/complaining that they
got screwed by the store clerk on his payout.
All prizes are guaranteed prize amounts. Like
the Pick3 and Daily 4 games,
there is no breakdown of allocations from sales for each prize level.
Prize Chart for All or Nothing is as follows ...
|0 Numbers||1 in 2,704,156||$250,000|
|1 Number||1 in 18,779||$500|
|2 Numbers||1 in 621||$50|
|3 Numbers||1 in 56||$10|
|4 Numbers||1 in 11||$2|
|5 Numbers||Not a winner||Not a winner|
|6 Numbers||Not a winner||Not a winner|
|7 Numbers||Not a winner||Not a winner|
|8 Numbers||1 in 11||$2|
|9 Numbers||1 in 56||$10|
|10 Numbers||1 in 621||$50|
|11 Numbers||1 in 18,779||$500|
|12 Numbers||1 in 2,704,156||$250,000|
Comments, Opinions & Predictions
by Dawn Nettles
The Texas Lottery states in the rule that this game will "result in an
estimated $40.5 million for the first five year period." Please notice ... it is
not clear as to whether this is profit - meaning excess funds for the state. The
Texas Lottery is notorious for quoting sales, not the bottom line which is
the most important factor of any business.
It is my opinion that clearly it will not be "excess funds" for the state
as those who choose to play this game will simply reduce their
spending on the other games that they were playing.
It will not generate new income or players.
This game - with its $2 price tag and extreme high odds - will ultimately
cause players to quit playing all games in shear disgust of constantly losing.
Prediction - The biggest "profit" to the state from All or Nothing will be to the
unclaimed prize fund. This game will NOT be understood by the majority of
those who play the game as it goes completely against the concept of any
lottery game. Unclaimed prize monies is an expected and vital revenue to the
state even though they claim it's not. (I will be showing you a lot about the
unclaimed prize monies when I complete my scratch ticket story)
Many of you have written me with ugly comments regarding the Texas Lottery
offering this game, particularly opposed to the 4 draws per day and to the cost of
the game. You've also commented about my silence regarding the proposed rule and
asked why I didn't post a notice about it. The reason is simple - it would have been
a complete waste of my time and your time because the TLC doesn't care what
you want or what you think. They will give you what they want you to have
and when their ideas fail to increase revenues, they explain to the Legislature
and the Commissioners that it was done in such and such state successfully
which lets the TLC off the hook. (The TLC tells the Commissioners and
the Legislature this even though sometimes the "success" was short
lived - but they always leave that tidbit out. Imagine that!)
I will be tracking the money as I do on all games and I will be posting it.
So only time will tell. I believe we will see sales decline on all games as players
will switch games in hopes of winning $250K - which very, very few will ever win.
As for the retailers - the ones that I've spoken with are most unhappy
about the new game. They already see that most of their players are
not going to understand the game and will make many mistakes on
their playslips costing them time from "paying customers."
Many retailers have spoken up with regards to the cost and
the fact that players cannot afford what they already spend.
Ironically, some have actually said that they are tired of seeing
people chase dreams that don't ever seem to come in.
Email Me - The Lotto Report
The Lotto Report
P. O. Box 495033
Garland, Texas 75049-5033
(972) 681-1048 Fax